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Writer's pictureFamey Lockwood

Living with the Future of Pandemics — expect diseases to proliferate much more rapidly

Updated: Apr 17, 2020


Humans and animals living together bring risks
Future of humans living with Pandemics

Some sobering statements are made on the BBC World Service Business Daily Podcast, March 13, 2020. Dr Juan Lubroth, former chief officer at the UN Food and Agriculture Assoc in Rome notes:


“We should stop treating pandemics as a “one-off event” and, “This is very much part of a longer-term pattern we should be starting to recognize as part of the future and not deal with every single one as an independent thing.”


And, James Gallagher states “the coronavirus is not going to disappear”, BBC News 20 March 2020.


Why the change and why now?


Demographics of the world have changed – since the early 1990’s when the internet started to take-off, humans have become increasingly global. Communication is now global with an increase in global travel – travel to countries once described as third world where a civilized person would previously never think of visiting, is now common and travel occurs daily.


Over the last 20 years, we have introduced to the world a host of new diseases – Ebola, SARS, ZIKA, HIV, swine flu, bird flu, West Nile fever, etc. An increase in new diseases is brought on by our societal globalization and also, more people are now living in urban centers. The closeness of humans increases the opportunity for diseases to manifest and spread more rapidly among the population.


More reasons for recent pandemics are given in the podcast, including the relationship humans have with animals – wild and exotic animals, which are viewed by some cultures as a status of wealth. Whether the animals are for display or consumption, the relationship with animals has created the potential for previously unknown diseases. This environment creates a massive scientific and societal challenge for individuals, governments and society.


Different cultures, lifestyles, foods - all bring a risk to healthy populations.
Risk comes with a global lifestyle - individuals have little or no immunity.

Global approach — do we have one?


Governments treat the pandemics as a one-off event with each country’s government treating the disease individually – to protect their respective country. In contrast, the medical community sees the pandemics as a medical event to be approached and solved scientifically. The COVID-19 virus has brought to the forefront our limited functioning and preparedness both internally – within each country, and globally.


Our approach to treating pandemics must be a “global approach”. Governments communicating at the national level, sharing and strategizing robust economic and financial plans must occur to control emerging diseases and maintain quality human life. Medicine and medical knowledge must be shared across borders to treat populations. Closing country borders, shutting down large parts of society as James Gallaher notes in the BBC News, or offering a financial stimulus are a short-term fix – closing the border today may be the best option but long-term has little impact to manage emerging diseases and treatment.



Some good points:


Speaking on the BBC Business News Podcast, Professor Patrick Boyle notes: Scientist can now sequence and write the virus DNA more quickly than with previous pandemics. The timeline to sequence the virus’ DNA is accelerating. The SARS virus took months to sequence the genome. COVID-2 genome was available in couple of weeks. “DNA synthesis to produce genes to serve as antigens for vaccine development happened immediately after that.”


While medicine and science has come a long way in the last few decades, we still have much to learn and accomplish to effectively and quickly manage and control pandemics. Governments and individuals must stay diligent after the initial flare is gone.


Take-away

.... expect diseases to proliferate much more rapidly — have a plan to respond quickly and professionally.



BBC Business Daily Podcast. Wet markets and the coronavirus. Where the coronavirus came from and why these diseases aren't a one-off. Posted March 13, 2020. Presenter Manuela Saragosa. https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/w3csy703


BBC Global News; Health. Coronavirus: When will the outbreak end and life get back to normal? Posted March 20, 2020 by James Gallagher.

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